NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings on Waste Management, Inc.'s (WM)
Issuer Default Rating (IDR), senior credit facility and senior unsecured
notes at 'BBB'. The Rating Outlook is Stable. A full rating list is
included at the end of the release. The ratings apply to approximately
$9 billion in debt.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
WM's ratings are supported by its strong free cash flow (FCF), leading
market position within the environmental services industry, stable
credit metrics and consistent capital deployment strategies. Fitch
expects WM to manage its capital structure and deployment plans within
its current financial strategy of maintaining solid liquidity alongside
leverage (total debt/Fitch adjusted EBITDA) in the mid-to-high 2x range
(2.6x as of June 30, 2015). Given the stability of the environmental
services industry, Fitch expects any deviation from this financial
strategy to remain among the key rating drivers going forward.
Following the divestiture of its Wheelabrator waste-to-energy business
in late 2014, WM has honed its focus on its core environmental service
operations. The initial example of this shift in strategy was the
acquisition of Deffenbaugh Disposal Inc. in March of 2015 for $416
million ($413 million in cash). Prior to the acquisition, Deffenbaugh
was one of the largest privately owned, solid waste collection and
disposal firms in the Midwest and following certain divestitures
required by the U.S. Department of Justice, Deffenbaugh is expected to
contribute approximately $176 million of third party revenue and $52
million of operating EBITDA annually. Fitch views WM's re-focus on solid
waste positively as it reduces the firm's exposure to volatile energy
prices and improves the margin profile.
Fitch expects WM's capital deployment plans going forward to be focused
on organic growth in its more profitable segments (industrial,
commercial and landfills), inorganic growth primarily focused on
solid-waste targets, followed by shareholder friendly activities. Fitch
expects WM leverage to increase moderately, likely peaking in the
vicinity of 3.0x over the intermediate term as the company deploys
capital in acquisitions to replace the roughly $200 million in EBITDA
from Wheelabrator and other recent divestitures. Fitch expects (Fitch
defined) FCF to be adequate in 2015, despite the top-line and commodity
pricing pressures, likely not declining materially from the nearly $500
million in FCF generated in 2014.
Pricing trends have been positive in the more profitable industrial and
commercial business segments with each line of business posting about
270 basis points of volume improvement in the second quarter (2Q) over
the prior year. WM has also recently been successful in winning new
business in the industrial and commercial segments with new awards
outpacing lost business.
Rating concerns include a potential shift in operational and financial
strategy or a continued commodity price compression. WM's shift back to
a core environmental services company is a credit positive; however, the
company has made non-core acquisitions in the past, and this continues
to be a potential ratings concern. Given the industry's capital
intensity and WM's capital deployment plans going forward, credit
metrics could be strained depending on the timing of acquisitions and
appetite for debt-funded buybacks.
Financial flexibility remains strong. As of the end of the 2Q, WM had
approximately $1.7 billion of total liquidity, consisting of $273
million in cash and $1.4 billion in availability under its primary
revolving line of credit ($2.25 billion less $830 million in letters of
credit). Long-term cash is expected to range between $100 million-$150
million.
After prepaying $947 million worth of senior notes and tender offers for
another $1 billion in senior notes in the first six months of 2015, WM
has a manageable debt maturity profile over the next several years. The
company has a $500 million maturity in September of 2016, the maturity
of its Canadian credit facility in November 2017 ($162 million drawn as
of June 30, 2015) and a $600 million note maturity in March of 2018.
Fitch expects WM to have the ability to address its debt maturities with
either FCF or through consistent access to the capital markets.
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
--Falling revenue over the intermediate term;
--Flat EBITDA margins as restructuring benefits and improved pricing are
offset by weak commodity pricing;
--EBITDA leverage increases from the current level to fund acquisitions
in the intermediate-term;
--Annual capital expenditures in the 9% to 10% of revenue range;
--The company continues to invest moderately in acquisitions each year;
--Dividends grow modestly on an annual basis;
--The company retains about $100 million in cash on its balance sheet,
with excess cash targeted toward share repurchases.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Positive: Future developments that may, individually or collectively,
lead to a positive rating action include:
--Maintaining leverage (total debt/Fitch adjusted EBITDA) below 2.5x for
a prolonged period;
--FCF margin consistently greater than 4%;
--A change to a more conservative financial strategy.
Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively,
lead to a negative rating action include:
--Leverage above 3.25x for a prolonged period;
--FCF lower than 1.5% (or 2% excluding cash outflow from minority
distributions) for a prolonged period;
--Debt funded share repurchases, dividends or a large debt funded
acquisition;
--A change to a less conservative financial strategy.
FULL LIST OF RATING ACTIONS
Fitch has affirmed the following ratings with, a Stable outlook:
Waste Management, Inc.
--IDR at 'BBB';
--Senior unsecured revolving credit facility rating at 'BBB';
--Senior unsecured notes rating at 'BBB'.
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com.
Applicable Criteria
Corporate Rating Methodology - Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent
and Subsidiary Linkage - Effective from 28 May 2014 - 14 August 2015
(pub. 28 May 2014)
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=749393
Additional Disclosures
Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr_id=989502
Solicitation Status
https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=989502
Endorsement Policy
https://www.fitchratings.com/jsp/creditdesk/PolicyRegulation.faces?context=2&detail=31
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